AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 13

Charlotte Checkers at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Charlotte Checkers
0:4
Final
Hershey Bears

The sheet

CLTHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
45%55%
xG
2.72.1
High danger
14
Chances
910
Shots
3616

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 38% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal16
9Scoring chances10
1High-danger chances4
2.74Expected goals2.06

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–63–41–10.6–0.7
2nd20–45–30–11.5–0.6
3rd9–61–30–20.6–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Mitch Gibson
Shots faced
36
Saves
36
Allowed
0
xGA
2.74
GSAx
+2.74
Louis Domingue
Shots faced
16
Saves
12
Allowed
4
xGA
2.06
GSAx
-1.94

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:41Penalty
  • 1st 3:32Cam Allen (0–1)5v4 · medium · 33 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 10:17Penalty
  • 1st 15:43Ivan Miroshnichenko (0–2)high · 12 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 16:41Penalty
  • 2nd 0:33Henrik Rybinski (0–3)high · 9 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 13:25Penalty
  • 2nd 15:12Penalty
  • 2nd 15:28Penalty
  • 3rd 5:25Penalty
  • 3rd 6:16Penalty
  • 3rd 9:12Jalen Luypen (0–4)high · 28 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 10:16Penalty
  • 3rd 16:15Penalty
  • 3rd 18:01Penalty
  • 3rd 19:25Penalty
  • 3rd 19:25Penalty