AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 14

Charlotte Checkers at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Charlotte Checkers
6:2
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

CLTWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
71%29%
xG
3.82.8
High danger
63
Chances
1410
Shots
3732

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 46% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal32
14Scoring chances10
6High-danger chances3
3.82Expected goals2.78

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–153–50–10.8–1.4
2nd16–66–14–01.6–0.3
3rd12–115–42–21.4–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS30:47 of the 3rd19:1319:13+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Filip Larsson
Shots faced
37
Saves
31
Allowed
6
xGA
3.82
GSAx
-2.18
Cooper Black
Shots faced
32
Saves
30
Allowed
2
xGA
2.78
GSAx
+0.78

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:49William Dufour (0–1)low · wrist · 32 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 1st 14:23Penalty
  • 2nd 7:49Gracyn Sawchyn (1–1)medium · backhand · 20 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 2nd 9:36Penalty
  • 2nd 10:57Penalty
  • 2nd 11:14Jack Devine (2–1)5v4 · high · wrist · 40 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 2nd 13:24Penalty
  • 2nd 13:47Robert Mastrosimone (3–1)5v4 · high · 21 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 2nd 14:16Phil Tomasino (3–2)medium · wrist · 8 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 15:56Brian Pinho (4–2)high · tip · 15 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 0:47Ryan McAllister (5–2)low · wrist · 63 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 14:26Penalty
  • 3rd 16:57Wilmer Skoog (6–2)medium · tip · 8 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 19:35Penalty