AHLDashboard
Sunday, December 14

Grand Rapids Griffins at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Grand Rapids Griffins
2:1
Final / SO
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

GRCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
83%17%
xG
2.81.3
High danger
51
Chances
83
Shots
2629

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 44% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal29
8Scoring chances3
5High-danger chances1
2.81Expected goals1.35

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st91611100.50.6
2nd3811010.30.4
3rd7431100.80.3
OT7130301.30.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR116:56 of the 3rd3:041:52+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
29
Saves
28
Allowed
1
xGA
1.35
GSAx
+0.35
Shots faced
26
Saves
25
Allowed
1
xGA
2.81
GSAx
+1.81

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 2nd 1:11Justin Robidas (0–1)high · 24 ft · beat Carter Gylander
  • 2nd 4:30Penalty
  • 2nd 8:29Penalty
  • 2nd 9:12Penalty
  • 3rd 7:17Penalty
  • 3rd 16:03Penalty
  • 3rd 18:48Jakub Rychlovský (1–1)medium · 34 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • OT 0:52Penalty