Abbotsford Canucks at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Abbotsford Canucks

3:4

Final / OT

Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

ABBCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

50%50%

xG: 3.22.4
High danger: 24
Chances: 129
Shots: 4128

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

CGY above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 44% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

41Shots on goal28

12Scoring chances9

2High-danger chances4

3.18Expected goals2.44

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	14–11	4–5	1–4	1.1–1.1
2nd	17–4	6–1	1–0	1.4–0.3
3rd	9–10	1–2	0–0	0.6–0.7
OT	1–3	1–1	0–0	0.1–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Connor Murphy

Shots faced: 41
Saves: 38
Allowed: 3
xGA: 3.18
GSAx: +0.18

Nikita Tolopilo

Shots faced: 28
Saves: 24
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.44
GSAx: -1.56

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:50Jonathan Lekkerimäki (1–0)medium · wrist · 33 ft · beat Connor Murphy
1st 5:26Penalty
1st 9:04Penalty
1st 10:31Penalty
1st 13:58Penalty
1st 13:58Penalty
1st 13:58Penalty
1st 13:58Penalty
1st 13:58Penalty
1st 13:58Penalty
1st 13:58Penalty
1st 17:28Penalty
1st 17:46Victor Mancini (2–0)5v4 · medium · wrist · 17 ft · beat Connor Murphy
1st 17:59Penalty
2nd 7:03Penalty
2nd 13:35Penalty
2nd 13:35Penalty
2nd 14:53Penalty
2nd 14:53Penalty
2nd 14:53Penalty
2nd 14:53Penalty
2nd 14:53Penalty
2nd 14:53Penalty
2nd 14:53Penalty
2nd 14:53Penalty
3rd 1:58Daniil Miromanov (2–1)medium · backhand · 20 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
3rd 8:11Clark Bishop (2–2)low · tip · 34 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
3rd 8:39Rory Kerins (2–3)low · wrist · 29 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
3rd 16:48Chase Wouters (3–3)medium · 14 ft · beat Connor Murphy
OT 4:15Nick Cicek (3–4)medium · wrist · 16 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo