AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, December 16

Charlotte Checkers at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Charlotte Checkers
2:1
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

CLTWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
42%58%
xG
3.03.1
High danger
56
Chances
1216
Shots
3024

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 46% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal24
12Scoring chances16
5High-danger chances6
3.02Expected goals3.15

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–103–71–30.8–1.4
2nd13–83–72–31.0–1.3
3rd8–66–22–01.2–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Joel Blomqvist
Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
3.02
GSAx
+1.02
Cooper Black
Shots faced
24
Saves
23
Allowed
1
xGA
3.15
GSAx
+2.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:56Penalty
  • 1st 6:58Penalty
  • 1st 8:20Penalty
  • 1st 11:11Penalty
  • 1st 18:02Kai Schwindt (1–0)low · tip · 11 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 6:39Nolan Foote (2–0)low · wrist · 25 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 8:45Penalty
  • 2nd 16:15Penalty
  • 2nd 16:40Penalty
  • 3rd 11:26Phil Tomasino (2–1)medium · snap · 12 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 3rd 13:37Penalty