Syracuse Crunch at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Syracuse Crunch

5:0

Final

Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

SYRBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

90%10%

xG: 4.31.8
High danger: 92
Chances: 195
Shots: 2918

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

BRI above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal18

19Scoring chances5

9High-danger chances2

4.26Expected goals1.78

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–6	5–1	1–0	1.0–0.5
2nd	12–8	8–3	4–2	1.7–1.0
3rd	10–4	6–1	4–0	1.5–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
BRI	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Henrik Tikkanen

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 24
Allowed: 5
xGA: 4.26
GSAx: -0.74

Ryan Fanti

Shots faced: 18
Saves: 18
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.78
GSAx: +1.78

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 13:11Penalty
1st 14:40Scott Sabourin (1–0)5v4 · medium · 39 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
2nd 8:34Mitchell Chaffee (2–0)high · 7 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
2nd 10:20Dylan Duke (3–0)high · 19 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
2nd 16:38Penalty
2nd 19:25Penalty
3rd 9:18Lucas Mercuri (4–0)high · 8 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
3rd 9:45Penalty
3rd 15:24Maxim Groshev (5–0)low · 28 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
3rd 17:21Penalty
3rd 18:04Penalty