AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, December 18

Laval Rocket at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Laval Rocket
2:5
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

LAVCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
29%71%
xG
1.22.4
High danger
23
Chances
56
Shots
1825

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal25
5Scoring chances6
2High-danger chances3
1.22Expected goals2.36

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–102–31–20.5–0.9
2nd2–91–21–10.2–1.1
3rd9–62–10–00.5–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Samuel Montembeault
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
2.36
GSAx
-2.64
Ivan Fedotov
Shots faced
18
Saves
16
Allowed
2
xGA
1.22
GSAx
-0.78

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:05Penalty
  • 1st 7:21Joe Dunlap (1–0)medium · backhand · 24 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 1st 11:36Penalty
  • 1st 14:55Hudson Fasching (1–1)high · wrist · 8 ft · beat Samuel Montembeault
  • 2nd 6:34Penalty
  • 2nd 6:34Penalty
  • 2nd 7:18Owen Sillinger (1–2)low · wrist · 38 ft · beat Samuel Montembeault
  • 2nd 10:42Penalty
  • 2nd 11:16Penalty
  • 2nd 16:44Penalty
  • 2nd 19:32Penalty
  • 3rd 6:06Tyler Thorpe (2–2)medium · 20 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 7:48Roman Ahcan (2–3)medium · 11 ft · beat Samuel Montembeault
  • 3rd 9:39Penalty
  • 3rd 10:36Will Butcher (2–4)5v4 · low · 46 ft · beat Samuel Montembeault
  • 3rd 17:09Jack Williams (2–5)empty net · low · 68 ft · beat Samuel Montembeault
  • 3rd 17:25Penalty