AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 19

Syracuse Crunch at Hartford Wolf Pack

PeoplesBank Arena · Hartford, CT

Syracuse Crunch
5:3
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

SYRHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
73%27%
xG
3.62.4
High danger
74
Chances
148
Shots
3017

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 46% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal17
14Scoring chances8
7High-danger chances4
3.59Expected goals2.40

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st16–29–05–02.3–0.1
2nd7–82–42–10.7–0.9
3rd7–73–40–30.6–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
3.59
GSAx
-1.41
Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
17
Saves
14
Allowed
3
xGA
2.40
GSAx
-0.60

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:38Penalty
  • 1st 6:38Penalty
  • 1st 8:27Penalty
  • 1st 10:31Brendan Furry (1–0)grade A · rebound · 1 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 17:31Mitchell Chaffee (2–0)high · 11 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 6:31Penalty
  • 2nd 13:05Adam Sýkora (2–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 14:47Penalty
  • 2nd 15:24Penalty
  • 2nd 17:15Anton Blidh (2–2)5v4 · medium · 9 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 17:32Lucas Mercuri (3–2)high · 8 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 19:22Penalty
  • 3rd 2:29Scott Sabourin (4–2)medium · 8 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 4:35Penalty
  • 3rd 10:34Penalty
  • 3rd 17:30Jaroslav Chmelar (4–3)high · rebound · 8 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 18:35Penalty
  • 3rd 18:35Penalty
  • 3rd 18:35Penalty
  • 3rd 18:35Penalty
  • 3rd 18:35Penalty
  • 3rd 18:35Penalty
  • 3rd 18:35Penalty
  • 3rd 18:35Penalty
  • 3rd 18:35Penalty
  • 3rd 19:52Dylan Duke (5–3)empty net · low · 61 ft · beat Dylan Garand