AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 19

Grand Rapids Griffins at Iowa Wild

Casey’s Center · Des Moines, IA

Grand Rapids Griffins
6:2
Final
Iowa Wild

The sheet

GRIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
84%16%
xG
2.61.5
High danger
41
Chances
93
Shots
3025

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 41% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal25
9Scoring chances3
4High-danger chances1
2.63Expected goals1.54

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–96–22–01.5–0.7
2nd8–102–12–10.6–0.6
3rd8–61–00–00.6–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

IA−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
IA40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Samuel Hlavaj
Shots faced
30
Saves
24
Allowed
6
xGA
2.63
GSAx
-3.37
Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
1.54
GSAx
-0.46

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:09Alex Doucet (1–0)low · 21 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 1st 2:50Chad Hillebrand (2–0)medium · tip · 27 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 1st 3:34Penalty
  • 1st 4:34Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (3–0)5v4 · medium · 51 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 1st 5:59Penalty
  • 1st 6:18David Špaček (3–1)5v4 · low · 39 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 1st 9:18Sheldon Dries (4–1)low · 14 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 1st 11:26Penalty
  • 1st 12:45Penalty
  • 1st 14:42Dylan Gambrell (4–2)5v4 · medium · 15 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 1st 15:31Penalty
  • 2nd 10:13Antti Tuomisto (5–2)low · 49 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 2nd 11:42Penalty
  • 2nd 13:43Ondrej Becher (6–2)high · 18 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 2nd 18:22Penalty
  • 2nd 18:22Penalty
  • 2nd 18:22Penalty
  • 2nd 18:22Penalty
  • 2nd 19:45Penalty
  • 3rd 11:01Penalty
  • 3rd 13:53Penalty
  • 3rd 17:10Penalty