AHLDashboard
Friday, December 19

Belleville Senators at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Belleville Senators
2:3
Final / OT
Rochester Americans

The sheet

BELROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
1.93.0
High danger
25
Chances
711
Shots
2431

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal31
7Scoring chances11
2High-danger chances5
1.95Expected goals3.02

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st91026010.61.1
2nd6914030.41.1
3rd9941210.90.6
OT0300000.00.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
3.02
GSAx
+0.02
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
1.95
GSAx
-0.05

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 14:00Isak Rosén (0–1)low · 41 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 14:02Penalty
  • 1st 14:02Penalty
  • 2nd 6:23Arthur Kaliyev (1–1)low · 40 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 8:29Penalty
  • 2nd 13:01Penalty
  • 3rd 0:35Philippe Daoust (2–1)low · 20 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 3:48Penalty
  • 3rd 8:09Riley Fiddler-Schultz (2–2)high · 7 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • OT 2:39Isak Rosén (2–3)low · 8 ft · beat Hunter Shepard