AHLDashboard
Friday, December 19

Bakersfield Condors at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Bakersfield Condors
5:4
Final / OT
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

BAKCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
70%30%
xG
3.82.3
High danger
74
Chances
149
Shots
3426

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineBAK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal26
14Scoring chances9
7High-danger chances4
3.78Expected goals2.34

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10843231.01.0
2nd81134110.70.9
3rd12762301.50.5
OT4010100.60.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
34
Saves
29
Allowed
5
xGA
3.78
GSAx
-1.22
Shots faced
26
Saves
22
Allowed
4
xGA
2.34
GSAx
-1.66

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:01Penalty
  • 1st 2:01Penalty
  • 1st 2:30Oscar Fisker Mølgaard (0–1)high · rebound · 30 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 1st 4:28Josh Samanski (1–1)low · 33 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 8:09Penalty
  • 1st 10:01Damien Carfagna (2–1)5v4 · low · 46 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 13:23Josh Samanski (3–1)high · 10 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 13:34Penalty
  • 1st 13:34Penalty
  • 1st 19:13Penalty
  • 2nd 3:06Penalty
  • 2nd 3:24Penalty
  • 2nd 5:25Penalty
  • 2nd 8:48Penalty
  • 2nd 8:48Penalty
  • 2nd 8:48Penalty
  • 2nd 11:50Penalty
  • 2nd 12:17Penalty
  • 2nd 16:02Jagger Firkus (3–2)low · 54 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 2nd 19:08Penalty
  • 2nd 19:24Eduard Šalé (3–3)5v4 · high · 18 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 3rd 0:08Penalty
  • 3rd 8:15Penalty
  • 3rd 9:43Matvey Petrov (4–3)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 3rd 12:51Logan Morrison (4–4)low · 51 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • OT 3:46Roby Järventie (5–4)grade A · rebound · 26 ft · beat Nikke Kokko