AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 21

Toronto Marlies at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Toronto Marlies
4:8
Final
Belleville Senators

The sheet

TORBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
16%84%
xG
1.94.0
High danger
27
Chances
612
Shots
2433

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 42% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal33
6Scoring chances12
2High-danger chances7
1.85Expected goals4.02

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–112–21–10.9–1.1
2nd3–82–41–20.4–0.9
3rd8–142–60–40.6–2.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TOR−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TOR30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
24
Saves
20
Allowed
4
xGA
1.85
GSAx
-2.15
Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
19
Saves
15
Allowed
4
xGA
2.66
GSAx
-1.34
Vyacheslav Peksa
Shots faced
14
Saves
10
Allowed
4
xGA
1.36
GSAx
-2.64

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:33Cédric Paré (1–0)medium · wrist · 17 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 2:51Keean Washkurak (1–1)medium · wrist · 31 ft · beat Vyacheslav Peksa
  • 1st 8:51Penalty
  • 1st 8:51Penalty
  • 1st 10:16Garrett Pilon (1–2)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Vyacheslav Peksa
  • 2nd 8:00Penalty
  • 2nd 9:00Logan Shaw (2–2)5v4 · high · tip · 12 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 10:31Lassi Thomson (2–3)low · wrist · 42 ft · beat Vyacheslav Peksa
  • 2nd 11:55Jamieson Rees (2–4)high · wrist · 17 ft · beat Vyacheslav Peksa
  • 2nd 13:54Penalty
  • 2nd 19:20Jan Jeník (2–5)high · wrist · 15 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 1:18Philippe Daoust (2–6)grade A · wrist · rebound · 4 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 2:50Penalty
  • 3rd 3:29Penalty
  • 3rd 4:24Penalty
  • 3rd 4:24Penalty
  • 3rd 4:59Penalty
  • 3rd 4:59Penalty
  • 3rd 6:41Penalty
  • 3rd 6:41Penalty
  • 3rd 6:41Penalty
  • 3rd 6:41Penalty
  • 3rd 6:41Penalty
  • 3rd 9:52Penalty
  • 3rd 10:21Tomas Hamara (2–7)5v4 · low · wrist · 44 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 15:56Penalty
  • 3rd 16:39Penalty
  • 3rd 16:47Jamieson Rees (2–8)grade A · backhand · 12 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 17:19Benoit-Olivier Groulx (3–8)medium · wrist · 22 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 3rd 18:33Marc Johnstone (4–8)5v4 · medium · wrist · 13 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 3rd 19:36Penalty
  • 3rd 19:36Penalty
  • 3rd 19:36Penalty
  • 3rd 19:36Penalty