AHLDashboard
Sunday, December 21

San Diego Gulls at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

San Diego Gulls
1:2
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

SDCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
3.71.6
High danger
43
Chances
94
Shots
5320

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 40% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

53Shots on goal20
9Scoring chances4
4High-danger chances3
3.72Expected goals1.58

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st21521001.30.3
2nd111043231.10.9
3rd21530201.30.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
53
Saves
52
Allowed
1
xGA
3.72
GSAx
+2.72
Shots faced
20
Saves
18
Allowed
2
xGA
1.58
GSAx
-0.42

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:19Martin Frk (0–1)medium · wrist · 16 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 1st 7:43Penalty
  • 2nd 4:30Penalty
  • 2nd 10:10Penalty
  • 2nd 11:58Penalty
  • 2nd 14:48Penalty
  • 2nd 15:21Matvei Gridin (0–2)5v4 · low · snap · 39 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 2nd 16:35Penalty
  • 2nd 17:20Sam Colangelo (1–2)5v4 · medium · slap · 36 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 3rd 3:21Penalty