AHLDashboard
Saturday, December 27

Cleveland Monsters at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Cleveland Monsters
4:3
Final / OT
Rochester Americans

The sheet

CLEROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
54%46%
xG
2.92.1
High danger
34
Chances
95
Shots
3926

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 41% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal26
9Scoring chances5
3High-danger chances4
2.91Expected goals2.06

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5800000.20.3
2nd181373221.71.1
3rd15522120.90.7
OT1000000.10.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
39
Saves
35
Allowed
4
xGA
2.91
GSAx
-1.09
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
2.06
GSAx
-0.94

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties