AHLDashboard
Saturday, December 27

Chicago Wolves at Iowa Wild

Casey’s Center · Des Moines, IA

Chicago Wolves
1:2
Final / OT
Iowa Wild

The sheet

CHIIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
15%85%
xG
1.53.8
High danger
16
Chances
614
Shots
2128

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal28
6Scoring chances14
1High-danger chances6
1.45Expected goals3.80

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6912010.40.6
2nd8937110.61.1
3rd7823020.50.8
OT0202020.01.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
3.80
GSAx
+1.80
Shots faced
21
Saves
20
Allowed
1
xGA
1.45
GSAx
+0.45

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:58Skyler Brind’Amour (1–0)medium · 13 ft · beat Riley Mercer
  • 1st 12:02Nicolas Aubé-Kubel (1–1)high · 16 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 1:49Penalty
  • 2nd 4:21Penalty
  • 2nd 16:46Penalty
  • 3rd 10:19Penalty
  • 3rd 19:16Penalty
  • OT 0:24Ben Jones (1–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Cayden Primeau