Syracuse Crunch at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Syracuse Crunch

2:4

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

SYRLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

69%31%

xG: 2.31.7
High danger: 43
Chances: 95
Shots: 3319

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal19

9Scoring chances5

4High-danger chances3

2.28Expected goals1.69

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–10	2–2	0–2	0.6–0.8
2nd	13–6	3–2	1–1	0.8–0.7
3rd	11–3	4–1	3–0	0.9–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SYR	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kaapo Kähkönen

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 31
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.28
GSAx: +0.28

Ryan Fanti

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 15
Allowed: 4
xGA: 1.69
GSAx: -2.31

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 5:01Alex Belzile (0–1)low · slap · 32 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
1st 13:29Ethan Samson (1–1)low · wrist · 56 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
1st 18:54Penalty
1st 19:50Alex Belzile (1–2)5v4 · low · slap · 49 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
2nd 0:15Florian Xhekaj (1–3)low · wrist · 41 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
2nd 7:44Penalty
2nd 10:22Penalty
2nd 13:42Penalty
2nd 14:00Joshua Roy (1–4)5v4 · high · tip · 6 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
3rd 16:03Dylan Duke (2–4)medium · tip · 11 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen