AHLDashboard
Sunday, December 28

Calgary Wranglers at Tucson Roadrunners

Tucson Convention Center Arena · Tucson, AZ

Calgary Wranglers
2:3
Final / OT
Tucson Roadrunners

The sheet

CGYTUCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
14%86%
xG
1.53.5
High danger
16
Chances
413
Shots
1934

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TUC above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 67% TUC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal34
4Scoring chances13
1High-danger chances6
1.53Expected goals3.47

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st101044111.01.0
2nd41006030.11.0
3rd4902010.30.7
OT1501010.10.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
3.47
GSAx
+0.47
Shots faced
19
Saves
17
Allowed
2
xGA
1.53
GSAx
-0.47

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:57Dryden Hunt (1–0)low · 14 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 1st 2:59Penalty
  • 1st 4:57Penalty
  • 1st 7:03Penalty
  • 1st 8:45Noel Nordh (1–1)5v4 · medium · 31 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 1st 8:53Penalty
  • 1st 8:53Penalty
  • 1st 10:38Penalty
  • 1st 17:22William Strömgren (2–1)medium · 14 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 1:29Penalty
  • 2nd 14:54Penalty
  • 3rd 1:51Max Szuber (2–2)low · 39 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 3rd 4:01Penalty
  • OT 3:57Sammy Walker (2–3)grade A · 10 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev