AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 28

Abbotsford Canucks at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
0:3
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

ABBSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
8%92%
xG
1.15.2
High danger
111
Chances
520
Shots
1542

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

024P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

15Shots on goal42
5Scoring chances20
1High-danger chances11
1.09Expected goals5.23

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–152–81–50.5–1.9
2nd2–150–100–40.1–2.2
3rd7–123–20–20.5–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jiří Patera
Shots faced
42
Saves
39
Allowed
3
xGA
5.23
GSAx
+2.23
Calle Clang
Shots faced
15
Saves
15
Allowed
0
xGA
1.09
GSAx
+1.09

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:33Penalty
  • 1st 7:32Penalty
  • 1st 13:14Penalty
  • 2nd 4:03Penalty
  • 2nd 10:55Penalty
  • 2nd 12:34Tim Washe (0–1)5v4 · medium · 13 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 2nd 17:08Penalty
  • 2nd 17:08Penalty
  • 2nd 17:08Penalty
  • 2nd 17:08Penalty
  • 3rd 2:20Penalty
  • 3rd 4:41Penalty
  • 3rd 7:52Judd Caulfield (0–2)low · 12 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 3rd 12:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:45Sam Colangelo (0–3)empty net · low · 25 ft · beat Jiří Patera