AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 28

Coachella Valley Firebirds at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Coachella Valley Firebirds
3:6
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

CVHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
2.82.8
High danger
56
Chances
913
Shots
3030

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal30
9Scoring chances13
5High-danger chances6
2.81Expected goals2.78

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–73–31–10.8–0.7
2nd14–123–72–51.2–1.4
3rd7–113–32–00.7–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CV116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Carl Lindbom
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
2.81
GSAx
-0.19
Victor Östman
Shots faced
30
Saves
24
Allowed
6
xGA
2.78
GSAx
-3.22

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:17Penalty
  • 1st 7:11Penalty
  • 1st 13:46Penalty
  • 1st 15:29Penalty
  • 1st 17:09Mitch McLain (0–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 7 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 1st 19:20Penalty
  • 2nd 3:17Jagger Firkus (1–1)low · tip · 28 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 2nd 8:35Penalty
  • 2nd 10:17Jonas Røndbjerg (1–2)5v4 · high · tip · 7 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 2nd 11:42Joe Fleming (1–3)medium · wrist · 12 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 2nd 13:06Mitchell Stephens (2–3)low · wrist · 27 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 2nd 13:48Jonas Røndbjerg (2–4)high · wrist · 19 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 2nd 15:35Penalty
  • 2nd 15:35Penalty
  • 2nd 17:53Penalty
  • 3rd 11:40Carson Rehkopf (3–4)low · wrist · 16 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 13:12Penalty
  • 3rd 15:42Penalty
  • 3rd 17:45Tanner Laczynski (3–5)empty net · low · wrist · 71 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 3rd 18:27Ben Hemmerling (3–6)empty net · low · wrist · 127 ft · beat Victor Östman