AHLDashboard
‹ Monday, December 29

Rochester Americans at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Rochester Americans
4:3
Final / OT
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

ROCCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
55%45%
xG
3.33.5
High danger
75
Chances
1614
Shots
2727

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 65% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal27
16Scoring chances14
7High-danger chances5
3.35Expected goals3.47

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–114–42–10.9–1.2
2nd11–77–43–11.3–0.8
3rd7–85–52–21.0–1.1
OT2–10–10–10.1–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE116:56 of the 3rd3:042:10+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Scott Ratzlaff
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
3.47
GSAx
+0.47
Ivan Fedotov
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
3.35
GSAx
-0.65

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 12:56Roman Ahcan (0–1)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 1st 14:39Penalty
  • 1st 17:26Vsevolod Komarov (1–1)low · 26 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 1st 18:14Penalty
  • 1st 18:40Penalty
  • 2nd 13:27Red Savage (2–1)high · 9 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 0:45Mikael Pyyhtiä (2–2)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 3rd 10:17Penalty
  • 3rd 10:57Isak Rosén (3–2)5v4 · high · 22 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 19:06Mikael Pyyhtiä (3–3)high · 7 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • OT 2:36Jack Rathbone (4–3)low · 46 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov