AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, December 30

Charlotte Checkers at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Charlotte Checkers
6:2
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

CLTWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
4.92.5
High danger
103
Chances
209
Shots
3928

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 46% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal28
20Scoring chances9
10High-danger chances3
4.88Expected goals2.52

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–115–32–21.1–1.2
2nd11–95–42–11.3–0.9
3rd15–810–26–02.5–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cooper Black
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
2.52
GSAx
+0.52
Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
24
Saves
19
Allowed
5
xGA
2.33
GSAx
-2.67
Filip Larsson
Shots faced
15
Saves
14
Allowed
1
xGA
2.55
GSAx
+1.55

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:30Penalty
  • 1st 9:00Hunter St. Martin (1–0)medium · wrist · 8 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 10:06Sandis Vilmanis (2–0)medium · tip · 16 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 3:04Brett Chorske (3–0)high · wrist · 16 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 4:10Penalty
  • 2nd 8:19Wilmer Skoog (4–0)medium · slap · 28 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 11:28Penalty
  • 2nd 13:32Aaron Huglen (4–1)medium · tip · 9 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 19:11Penalty
  • 2nd 19:43Robert Mastrosimone (5–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 27 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 0:51Brian Pinho (6–1)grade A · snap · rebound · 16 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 2:10Joona Koppanen (6–2)medium · slap · 22 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 3rd 14:01Penalty
  • 3rd 17:27Penalty
  • 3rd 17:27Penalty
  • 3rd 17:27Penalty
  • 3rd 17:27Penalty