AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, December 31

Laval Rocket at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Laval Rocket
4:3
Final
Belleville Senators

The sheet

LAVBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
53%47%
xG
3.43.5
High danger
75
Chances
1112
Shots
4031

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 40% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

40Shots on goal31
11Scoring chances12
7High-danger chances5
3.36Expected goals3.54

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st19–117–45–21.8–1.2
2nd7–81–31–10.5–1.1
3rd14–123–51–21.1–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Mads Søgaard
Shots faced
40
Saves
36
Allowed
4
xGA
3.36
GSAx
-0.64
Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
3.54
GSAx
+0.54

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:21Penalty
  • 1st 9:07Xavier Bourgault (0–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 4 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 1st 12:27Penalty
  • 1st 12:27Penalty
  • 1st 12:27Penalty
  • 1st 13:00Alex Belzile (1–1)5v4 · high · 18 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 1st 15:26Penalty
  • 1st 18:53Penalty
  • 1st 18:53Penalty
  • 2nd 4:18Alex Belzile (2–1)high · 23 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 2nd 7:32Penalty
  • 2nd 7:32Penalty
  • 2nd 12:04Penalty
  • 2nd 13:21Philippe Daoust (2–2)5v4 · medium · wrist · 29 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 1:53Laurent Dauphin (3–2)medium · wrist · 16 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 3rd 2:24Penalty
  • 3rd 4:54Penalty
  • 3rd 8:04Penalty
  • 3rd 10:05Jared Davidson (4–2)low · wrist · 49 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 3rd 18:42Xavier Bourgault (4–3)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen