AHLDashboard
Wednesday, December 31

Milwaukee Admirals at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Milwaukee Admirals
3:2
Final / OT
Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

MILGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
13%87%
xG
1.73.0
High danger
05
Chances
510
Shots
2430

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
GR above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 65% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal30
5Scoring chances10
0High-danger chances5
1.67Expected goals3.05

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9812000.50.5
2nd8723020.50.9
3rd61525030.61.7
OT1000000.00.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
3.05
GSAx
+1.05
Shots faced
24
Saves
21
Allowed
3
xGA
1.66
GSAx
-1.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:12Penalty
  • 1st 4:12Penalty
  • 1st 7:22Penalty
  • 1st 7:30Daniel Carr (1–0)5v4 · low · slap · 60 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 1st 11:05William Wallinder (1–1)low · slap · 43 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 1st 12:18Penalty
  • 2nd 12:57Penalty
  • 2nd 14:59Penalty
  • 3rd 6:42Daniel Carr (2–1)low · snap · 11 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 3rd 10:59Penalty
  • 3rd 12:14Penalty
  • 3rd 13:16John Leonard (2–2)4v5 · low · 40 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 17:23Penalty
  • OT 0:58Zach L’Heureux (3–2)low · wrist · 50 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa