AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 2

Chicago Wolves at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Chicago Wolves
2:3
Final / SO
Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CHIGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
72%28%
xG
5.22.9
High danger
86
Chances
2110
Shots
4924

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

024P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
GR above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

49Shots on goal24
21Scoring chances10
8High-danger chances6
5.15Expected goals2.91

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–75–33–21.3–0.9
2nd14–105–42–31.4–1.3
3rd18–711–33–12.3–0.7
OT4–00–00–00.2–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR116:56 of the 3rd3:040:50+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
49
Saves
47
Allowed
2
xGA
5.15
GSAx
+3.15
Amir Miftakhov
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
2.91
GSAx
+0.91

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:32Penalty
  • 1st 2:30Penalty
  • 1st 11:35Penalty
  • 1st 14:34Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (0–1)medium · 24 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 1st 19:16Noel Gunler (1–1)low · 35 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 5:53Penalty
  • 2nd 9:13Penalty
  • 2nd 19:17Penalty
  • 3rd 10:09Justin Robidas (2–1)medium · 20 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 3rd 17:46Antti Tuomisto (2–2)low · 58 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 3rd 18:38Penalty
  • OT 2:24Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty