AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 2

Coachella Valley Firebirds at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds
5:2
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

CVSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
72%28%
xG
2.11.6
High danger
42
Chances
94
Shots
2627

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal27
9Scoring chances4
4High-danger chances2
2.15Expected goals1.59

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–52–00–00.7–0.3
2nd8–92–21–10.5–0.6
3rd8–135–23–11.0–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nikke Kokko
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
1.59
GSAx
-0.41
Ville Husso
Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
2.15
GSAx
-2.85

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:49Penalty
  • 1st 4:49Penalty
  • 1st 7:38Logan Morrison (1–0)low · 17 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 1st 11:55Penalty
  • 1st 11:58Logan Morrison (2–0)5v4 · medium · 30 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 1st 13:25Justin Bailey (2–1)low · 47 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 14:15Ryan Carpenter (2–2)low · 42 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 4:58Lleyton Roed (3–2)high · 13 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 2nd 9:51Penalty
  • 2nd 12:07Penalty
  • 2nd 18:48Penalty
  • 2nd 18:48Penalty
  • 2nd 18:48Penalty
  • 2nd 18:48Penalty
  • 2nd 18:48Penalty
  • 2nd 18:48Penalty
  • 2nd 18:48Penalty
  • 2nd 18:48Penalty
  • 3rd 2:10Eduard Šalé (4–2)high · 19 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 9:54Penalty
  • 3rd 19:21John Hayden (5–2)empty net · high · 12 ft · beat Ville Husso