AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 3

Hartford Wolf Pack at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Hartford Wolf Pack
4:1
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

HFDBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
85%15%
xG
3.62.0
High danger
81
Chances
137
Shots
3223

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal23
13Scoring chances7
8High-danger chances1
3.62Expected goals1.97

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–52–11–00.6–0.3
2nd13–87–45–11.9–0.8
3rd12–104–22–01.1–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Marcus Högberg
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
3.62
GSAx
-0.38
Dylan Garand
Shots faced
23
Saves
22
Allowed
1
xGA
1.97
GSAx
+0.97

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:13Carey Terrance (1–0)medium · 14 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 1st 12:19Penalty
  • 1st 18:51Trey Fix-Wolansky (2–0)low · 34 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 1:20Penalty
  • 2nd 1:26Brendan Brisson (3–0)5v4 · high · 30 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 1:46Penalty
  • 2nd 7:29Penalty
  • 2nd 7:29Penalty
  • 2nd 9:34Daylan Kuefler (3–1)medium · 8 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 17:32Penalty
  • 2nd 17:32Penalty
  • 3rd 2:58Penalty
  • 3rd 9:54Penalty
  • 3rd 16:03Penalty
  • 3rd 16:41Penalty
  • 3rd 16:41Penalty
  • 3rd 16:41Penalty
  • 3rd 16:41Penalty
  • 3rd 16:41Penalty
  • 3rd 16:41Penalty
  • 3rd 16:41Penalty
  • 3rd 16:41Penalty
  • 3rd 16:41Dylan Roobroeck (4–1)5v4 · medium · 25 ft · beat Marcus Högberg