AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 3

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
0:6
Final
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

WBSSYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
8%92%
xG
1.54.6
High danger
18
Chances
319
Shots
1731

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

17Shots on goal31
3Scoring chances19
1High-danger chances8
1.48Expected goals4.57

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–110–90–30.2–1.5
2nd5–82–41–20.6–0.9
3rd8–121–60–30.7–2.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Filip Larsson
Shots faced
20
Saves
19
Allowed
1
xGA
3.03
GSAx
+2.03
Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
17
Saves
17
Allowed
0
xGA
1.48
GSAx
+1.48
Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
11
Saves
6
Allowed
5
xGA
1.54
GSAx
-3.46

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:12Tristan Allard (0–1)medium · 27 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 2:19Penalty
  • 1st 3:04Dylan Duke (0–2)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 4:34Jarred Tinordi (0–3)medium · 31 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 13:53Penalty
  • 1st 13:53Penalty
  • 1st 14:36Jakob Pelletier (0–4)high · 22 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 19:05Conor Geekie (0–5)medium · 22 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 3:19Penalty
  • 2nd 6:29Penalty
  • 2nd 6:29Penalty
  • 2nd 9:10Penalty
  • 2nd 10:10Penalty
  • 2nd 14:03Penalty
  • 2nd 14:03Penalty
  • 2nd 14:03Penalty
  • 2nd 16:44Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 0:45Nick Abruzzese (0–6)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 6:21Penalty
  • 3rd 11:45Penalty
  • 3rd 11:45Penalty
  • 3rd 11:45Penalty
  • 3rd 11:45Penalty
  • 3rd 11:45Penalty
  • 3rd 11:45Penalty
  • 3rd 11:45Penalty
  • 3rd 13:22Penalty
  • 3rd 13:22Penalty
  • 3rd 19:26Penalty