AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 3

Charlotte Checkers at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Charlotte Checkers
3:6
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

CLTCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
19%81%
xG
2.24.0
High danger
18
Chances
917
Shots
2537

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal37
9Scoring chances17
1High-danger chances8
2.20Expected goals3.98

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–142–51–30.5–1.4
2nd10–146–80–31.0–1.7
3rd9–91–40–20.7–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kirill Gerasimyuk
Shots faced
37
Saves
31
Allowed
6
xGA
3.99
GSAx
-2.01
Ivan Fedotov
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.20
GSAx
-0.80

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:04Penalty
  • 1st 9:13Penalty
  • 1st 9:13Penalty
  • 1st 16:22Riley Bezeau (0–1)high · 13 ft · beat Kirill Gerasimyuk
  • 1st 16:48Penalty
  • 1st 19:27Brian Pinho (1–1)high · rebound · 12 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 5:59Tate Singleton (1–2)medium · 16 ft · beat Kirill Gerasimyuk
  • 2nd 8:30Brian Pinho (2–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 11:15Penalty
  • 2nd 13:38Roman Ahcan (2–3)high · rebound · 13 ft · beat Kirill Gerasimyuk
  • 2nd 15:00Nate Smith (3–3)medium · 10 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 18:25Luca Del Bel Belluz (3–4)high · 17 ft · beat Kirill Gerasimyuk
  • 3rd 2:46Penalty
  • 3rd 4:22Hunter McKown (3–5)4v5 · medium · 20 ft · beat Kirill Gerasimyuk
  • 3rd 19:58James Malatesta (3–6)empty net · low · 84 ft · beat Kirill Gerasimyuk