AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 3

Utica Comets at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Utica Comets
4:3
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

UTCLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
57%43%
xG
2.01.8
High danger
22
Chances
77
Shots
2223

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal23
7Scoring chances7
2High-danger chances2
2.02Expected goals1.81

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–44–11–11.1–0.3
2nd5–93–41–10.7–0.9
3rd4–100–20–00.2–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Málek
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
1.81
GSAx
-1.19
Hunter Jones
Shots faced
22
Saves
18
Allowed
4
xGA
2.02
GSAx
-1.98

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:50Penalty
  • 1st 13:46Marc Del Gaizo (0–1)low · wrist · 57 ft · beat Jakub Málek
  • 1st 16:01Penalty
  • 1st 19:12Topias Vilen (1–1)low · wrist · 54 ft · beat Hunter Jones
  • 2nd 1:03Penalty
  • 2nd 1:03Penalty
  • 2nd 1:15Shane Lachance (2–1)grade A · tip · 9 ft · beat Hunter Jones
  • 2nd 2:10Penalty
  • 2nd 7:32Penalty
  • 2nd 13:28Penalty
  • 2nd 14:04Florian Xhekaj (2–2)4v5 · high · wrist · 17 ft · beat Jakub Málek
  • 2nd 16:42Penalty
  • 3rd 2:16Marc Del Gaizo (2–3)low · slap · rebound · 52 ft · beat Jakub Málek
  • 3rd 8:17Penalty
  • 3rd 8:17Penalty
  • 3rd 8:35Ethan Edwards (3–3)low · wrist · 37 ft · beat Hunter Jones
  • 3rd 9:31Ethan Edwards (4–3)low · wrist · 26 ft · beat Hunter Jones
  • 3rd 13:00Penalty