AHLDashboard
Saturday, January 3

Milwaukee Admirals at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Milwaukee Admirals
3:4
Final / SO
Texas Stars

The sheet

MILTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
35%65%
xG
3.13.3
High danger
36
Chances
914
Shots
3129

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal29
9Scoring chances14
3High-danger chances6
3.06Expected goals3.32

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st81023110.60.8
2nd81015020.71.2
3rd12665231.51.0
OT3301000.20.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
3.06
GSAx
+0.06
Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
3.32
GSAx
+0.32

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 2nd 2:17Penalty
  • 2nd 13:06Penalty
  • 2nd 18:52Penalty
  • 2nd 18:52Penalty
  • 3rd 0:53Cameron Hughes (0–1)high · 8 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 1:09Jake Lucchini (1–1)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 3rd 1:46Penalty
  • 3rd 2:53Harrison Scott (1–2)5v4 · medium · 31 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 9:07Curtis McKenzie (1–3)high · rebound · 9 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 11:29Penalty
  • 3rd 11:50Jake Lucchini (2–3)5v4 · medium · 28 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 3rd 13:35Shawn Element (3–3)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee