AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 3

Colorado Eagles at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Colorado Eagles
5:2
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

COLHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
45%55%
xG
3.13.1
High danger
44
Chances
1212
Shots
3329

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal29
12Scoring chances12
4High-danger chances4
3.05Expected goals3.06

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–83–50–20.8–0.9
2nd12–82–30–10.7–1.1
3rd13–137–44–11.6–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Carl Lindbom
Shots faced
33
Saves
28
Allowed
5
xGA
3.05
GSAx
-1.95
Isak Posch
Shots faced
29
Saves
27
Allowed
2
xGA
3.07
GSAx
+1.07

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:39Jayson Megna (1–0)medium · wrist · 15 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 1st 5:15Penalty
  • 1st 8:21Penalty
  • 1st 10:18Ronnie Attard (2–0)5v4 · low · slap · 46 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 1st 11:04Penalty
  • 1st 19:22Penalty
  • 2nd 5:49Penalty
  • 2nd 10:48Jonas Røndbjerg (2–1)medium · tip · 10 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 2nd 15:52Jakub Brabenec (2–2)grade A · wrist · rebound · 14 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 2nd 16:26Penalty
  • 2nd 16:26Penalty
  • 3rd 5:19Penalty
  • 3rd 5:19Penalty
  • 3rd 6:55Penalty
  • 3rd 7:34Penalty
  • 3rd 8:01Danil Gushchin (3–2)5v4 · grade A · wrist · 34 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 8:30Penalty
  • 3rd 9:11T.J. Tynan (4–2)medium · wrist · 17 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 19:18Tristen Nielsen (5–2)empty net · low · wrist · 55 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 19:58Penalty
  • 3rd 19:58Penalty
  • 3rd 19:58Penalty
  • 3rd 19:58Penalty