AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 4

Colorado Eagles at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Colorado Eagles
3:4
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

COLHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
61%39%
xG
3.02.4
High danger
44
Chances
1111
Shots
3322

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal22
11Scoring chances11
4High-danger chances4
2.95Expected goals2.40

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–105–52–11.1–1.1
2nd14–64–41–21.1–0.7
3rd10–62–21–10.8–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jesper Vikman
Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
2.95
GSAx
-0.05
Isak Posch
Shots faced
22
Saves
18
Allowed
4
xGA
2.40
GSAx
-1.60

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:10Jeremy Davies (0–1)medium · backhand · 12 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 1st 11:44Maroš Jedlička (1–1)low · wrist · 24 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 1st 16:08Penalty
  • 1st 16:13Tanner Laczynski (1–2)5v4 · high · tip · 27 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 1st 19:51Penalty
  • 2nd 6:22Maroš Jedlička (2–2)medium · wrist · 6 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 9:22Alex Barré-Boulet (3–2)high · wrist · 6 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 10:08Penalty
  • 2nd 11:47Penalty
  • 2nd 14:43Penalty
  • 3rd 1:49Tanner Laczynski (3–3)grade A · wrist · rebound · 7 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 3rd 5:22Ben Hemmerling (3–4)medium · snap · 17 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 3rd 7:38Penalty