Syracuse Crunch at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Syracuse Crunch

0:3

Final

Utica Comets

The sheet

SYRUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

30%70%

xG: 1.21.4
High danger: 13
Chances: 24
Shots: 1515

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

UTC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

15Shots on goal15

2Scoring chances4

1High-danger chances3

1.24Expected goals1.41

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	3–6	0–1	0–0	0.1–0.4
2nd	3–4	0–0	0–0	0.1–0.2
3rd	9–5	2–3	1–3	1.0–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SYR	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ryan Fanti

Shots faced: 15
Saves: 12
Allowed: 3
xGA: 1.41
GSAx: -1.59

Jakub Málek

Shots faced: 15
Saves: 15
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.24
GSAx: +1.24

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:29Penalty
1st 2:29Penalty
1st 6:34Penalty
2nd 0:35Xavier Parent (0–1)low · 61 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
2nd 9:03Penalty
2nd 9:03Penalty
2nd 9:03Penalty
2nd 9:03Penalty
2nd 13:47Penalty
2nd 18:59Penalty
2nd 18:59Penalty
2nd 18:59Penalty
2nd 18:59Penalty
3rd 1:55Penalty
3rd 2:37Brian Halonen (0–2)5v4 · high · 22 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
3rd 3:33Penalty
3rd 18:55Angus Crookshank (0–3)empty net · low · 68 ft · beat Ryan Fanti