Iowa Wild at Tucson Roadrunners

Tucson Convention Center Arena · Tucson, AZ

Iowa Wild

1:2

Final / OT

Tucson Roadrunners

The sheet

IATUCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

33%67%

xG: 1.92.6
High danger: 24
Chances: 88
Shots: 2031

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

TUC above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 60% TUC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal31

8Scoring chances8

2High-danger chances4

1.91Expected goals2.56

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	3–10	2–4	1–0	0.4–0.9
2nd	9–8	4–1	0–1	0.9–0.5
3rd	6–10	2–3	1–3	0.5–1.0
OT	2–3	0–0	0–0	0.2–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Samuel Hlavaj

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 29
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.56
GSAx: +0.56

Jaxson Stauber

Shots faced: 20
Saves: 19
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.91
GSAx: +0.91

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 7:01Penalty
1st 15:23Penalty
2nd 3:17Penalty
2nd 4:09Gerry Mayhew (1–0)5v4 · medium · 34 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
2nd 7:12Penalty
2nd 11:56Penalty
2nd 18:27Max Szuber (1–1)low · 60 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
3rd 6:16Penalty
3rd 15:45Penalty
OT 3:53Sammy Walker (1–2)low · 25 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj