AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 10

Bakersfield Condors at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Bakersfield Condors
3:4
Final / OT
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

BAKSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
2.63.9
High danger
68
Chances
1014
Shots
2432

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineBAK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 60% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal32
10Scoring chances14
6High-danger chances8
2.58Expected goals3.90

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–91–31–10.3–0.8
2nd14–107–44–31.6–1.1
3rd5–112–61–30.6–1.3
OT0–20–10–10.0–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Matt Tomkins
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
3.90
GSAx
-0.10
Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
19
Saves
16
Allowed
3
xGA
1.94
GSAx
-1.06
Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
5
Saves
5
Allowed
0
xGA
0.64
GSAx
+0.64

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:13Ethan Cardwell (0–1)medium · 21 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 1st 14:56Penalty
  • 1st 15:26Quentin Musty (0–2)5v4 · high · 13 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 1st 16:20Penalty
  • 1st 16:20Penalty
  • 1st 16:33Penalty
  • 1st 16:33Penalty
  • 1st 17:17Penalty
  • 1st 19:47Josh Samanski (1–2)low · 50 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 2:26Penalty
  • 2nd 8:49Penalty
  • 2nd 8:49Penalty
  • 2nd 12:35Viljami Marjala (2–2)high · 8 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 13:03James Hamblin (3–2)high · 14 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 17:37Penalty
  • 3rd 6:38Cam Lund (3–3)high · 9 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 3rd 8:11Penalty
  • 3rd 8:55Penalty
  • 3rd 9:11Penalty
  • 3rd 17:51Penalty
  • 3rd 18:19Penalty
  • OT 2:42Ethan Cardwell (3–4)grade A · 9 ft · beat Matt Tomkins