AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 11

Hartford Wolf Pack at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Hartford Wolf Pack
1:5
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

HFDBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
38%62%
xG
3.03.7
High danger
57
Chances
1115
Shots
2633

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal33
11Scoring chances15
5High-danger chances7
2.98Expected goals3.65

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–94–52–00.9–1.0
2nd11–106–33–21.6–1.0
3rd6–141–70–50.5–1.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
33
Saves
28
Allowed
5
xGA
3.65
GSAx
-1.35
Marcus Högberg
Shots faced
26
Saves
25
Allowed
1
xGA
2.99
GSAx
+1.99

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:28Penalty
  • 1st 18:50Penalty
  • 2nd 4:07Penalty
  • 2nd 4:07Penalty
  • 2nd 5:04Penalty
  • 2nd 7:28Jaroslav Chmelar (1–0)grade A · 11 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 11:40Penalty
  • 2nd 14:02Penalty
  • 2nd 16:53Penalty
  • 2nd 18:08Penalty
  • 3rd 2:33Isaiah George (1–1)medium · 9 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 3:17Penalty
  • 3rd 4:16Hunter Drew (1–2)5v4 · high · 13 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 4:47Eetu Liukas (1–3)high · 14 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 12:38Penalty
  • 3rd 12:38Penalty
  • 3rd 14:06Liam Foudy (1–4)high · 23 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 17:07Sean Day (1–5)medium · 20 ft · beat Dylan Garand