AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 11

Manitoba Moose at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Manitoba Moose
3:4
Final / OT
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

MBCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
43%57%
xG
3.23.6
High danger
54
Chances
913
Shots
3529

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal29
9Scoring chances13
5High-danger chances4
3.19Expected goals3.59

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–113–21–10.8–0.8
2nd15–94–63–01.5–1.0
3rd7–52–31–10.7–0.6
OT3–40–20–20.2–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
35
Saves
32
Allowed
3
xGA
3.19
GSAx
+0.19
Domenic DiVincentiis
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
3.59
GSAx
-0.41

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:54Penalty
  • 1st 8:34Penalty
  • 1st 11:19Penalty
  • 1st 17:17Penalty
  • 2nd 4:14Samuel Fagemo (1–0)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 6:23Justin Robidas (1–1)medium · 11 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 2nd 6:42Justin Robidas (1–2)medium · 23 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 2nd 11:34Ville Heinola (2–2)low · 60 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 12:30Penalty
  • 2nd 12:30Penalty
  • 2nd 15:02Penalty
  • 2nd 18:11Dominik Badinka (2–3)low · 9 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 3rd 2:01Penalty
  • 3rd 8:24Penalty
  • 3rd 10:38Walker Duehr (3–3)high · 5 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 19:46Penalty
  • OT 2:07Domenick Fensore (3–4)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis