AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 14

Springfield Thunderbirds at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Springfield Thunderbirds
2:8
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

SPRCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
21%79%
xG
1.83.4
High danger
36
Chances
818
Shots
1831

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 64% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal31
8Scoring chances18
3High-danger chances6
1.85Expected goals3.44

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–93–51–10.6–1.0
2nd5–162–101–40.5–2.0
3rd8–63–31–10.8–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SPR−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SPR50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
19
Saves
15
Allowed
4
xGA
2.01
GSAx
-1.99
Cooper Black
Shots faced
18
Saves
16
Allowed
2
xGA
1.85
GSAx
-0.15
Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
12
Saves
8
Allowed
4
xGA
1.43
GSAx
-2.57

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:42Ben Steeves (0–1)high · 11 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 4:50Zach Dean (1–1)medium · 17 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 1st 11:46Penalty
  • 1st 17:10Robert Mastrosimone (1–2)medium · 30 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 1:33Robert Mastrosimone (1–3)high · rebound · 22 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 1:52Penalty
  • 2nd 6:17Jack Devine (1–4)medium · 28 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 10:59Penalty
  • 2nd 11:10Chris Wagner (2–4)5v4 · high · 20 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 11:49Penalty
  • 2nd 15:12Nolan Foote (2–5)medium · 13 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 16:30Riese Gaber (2–6)medium · 27 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 19:50Wilmer Skoog (2–7)high · 16 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 3:49Robert Mastrosimone (2–8)high · 16 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 10:47Penalty