AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 14

Syracuse Crunch at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Syracuse Crunch
0:3
Final
Rochester Americans

The sheet

SYRROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
1.62.6
High danger
37
Chances
610
Shots
2020

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal20
6Scoring chances10
3High-danger chances7
1.60Expected goals2.60

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–70–10–10.1–0.5
2nd7–102–70–50.5–1.8
3rd9–34–23–11.0–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SYR−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SYR212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devon Levi
Shots faced
20
Saves
20
Allowed
0
xGA
1.60
GSAx
+1.60
Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
2.60
GSAx
-0.40

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 16:51Penalty
  • 1st 18:59Penalty
  • 2nd 5:26Penalty
  • 2nd 6:49Zac Jones (0–1)5v4 · low · 55 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 12:22Penalty
  • 3rd 4:18Zac Jones (0–2)medium · 29 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 17:22Riley Fiddler-Schultz (0–3)empty net · low · 161 ft · beat Brandon Halverson