AHLDashboard
Wednesday, January 14

Abbotsford Canucks at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
5:3
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

ABBSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
77%23%
xG
2.72.6
High danger
51
Chances
146
Shots
2439

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal39
14Scoring chances6
5High-danger chances1
2.74Expected goals2.57

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st31220100.40.6
2nd82045110.91.5
3rd13781301.50.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
39
Saves
36
Allowed
3
xGA
2.57
GSAx
-0.43
Shots faced
24
Saves
19
Allowed
5
xGA
2.74
GSAx
-2.26

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:02Penalty
  • 1st 10:02Penalty
  • 1st 12:51Penalty
  • 1st 18:20Penalty
  • 1st 18:47Sam Colangelo (0–1)5v4 · low · 50 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 2nd 6:07Jujhar Khaira (1–1)medium · 10 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 8:06Yegor Sidorov (1–2)medium · 32 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 2nd 9:01Penalty
  • 2nd 11:02Penalty
  • 2nd 13:42Penalty
  • 3rd 3:23Penalty
  • 3rd 3:31Ben Berard (2–2)5v4 · medium · 49 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 4:35Chase Wouters (3–2)low · 48 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 6:48Penalty
  • 3rd 6:48Penalty
  • 3rd 8:18Penalty
  • 3rd 11:28Roland McKeown (3–3)low · 22 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 3rd 14:28Jujhar Khaira (4–3)high · 13 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 19:11Lukas Reichel (5–3)high · 15 ft · beat Calle Clang