AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 16

Abbotsford Canucks at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
0:1
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

ABBSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
35%65%
xG
1.72.1
High danger
25
Chances
69
Shots
1926

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal26
6Scoring chances9
2High-danger chances5
1.70Expected goals2.11

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–111–40–30.4–0.9
2nd5–123–41–20.6–1.0
3rd8–32–11–00.7–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jiří Patera
Shots faced
26
Saves
25
Allowed
1
xGA
2.11
GSAx
+1.11
Calle Clang
Shots faced
19
Saves
19
Allowed
0
xGA
1.70
GSAx
+1.70

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:27Penalty
  • 1st 18:12Penalty
  • 2nd 2:15Sasha Pastujov (0–1)high · 12 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 2nd 12:19Penalty
  • 2nd 12:19Penalty
  • 2nd 12:19Penalty
  • 2nd 15:37Penalty
  • 3rd 17:43Penalty
  • 3rd 18:54Penalty