AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 17

Rochester Americans at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Rochester Americans
0:3
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

ROCUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
23%77%
xG
1.72.5
High danger
26
Chances
611
Shots
2024

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal24
6Scoring chances11
2High-danger chances6
1.68Expected goals2.47

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–53–11–10.6–0.4
2nd5–122–61–10.6–1.2
3rd7–71–40–40.5–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ROC−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ROC212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Scott Ratzlaff
Shots faced
24
Saves
21
Allowed
3
xGA
2.47
GSAx
-0.53
Jakub Málek
Shots faced
20
Saves
20
Allowed
0
xGA
1.68
GSAx
+1.68

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:45Penalty
  • 1st 2:29Penalty
  • 1st 8:50Penalty
  • 1st 10:16Angus Crookshank (0–1)4v5 · high · 9 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 1st 19:38Penalty
  • 2nd 0:50Brian Halonen (0–2)5v4 · medium · 38 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 2nd 1:38Penalty
  • 3rd 7:29Penalty
  • 3rd 13:11Penalty
  • 3rd 14:24Penalty
  • 3rd 17:33Ryan Schmelzer (0–3)empty net · high · 4 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff