Milwaukee Admirals at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Milwaukee Admirals

0:2

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

MILGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

5%95%

xG: 0.62.3
High danger: 06
Chances: 28
Shots: 1029

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 65% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

10Shots on goal29

2Scoring chances8

0High-danger chances6

0.60Expected goals2.27

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	4–11	2–3	0–2	0.3–0.8
2nd	2–14	0–4	0–3	0.1–1.1
3rd	4–4	0–1	0–1	0.2–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
MIL	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Matthew Murray

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 27
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.27
GSAx: +0.27

Michal Postava

Shots faced: 10
Saves: 10
Allowed: 0
xGA: 0.60
GSAx: +0.60

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:07Penalty
1st 12:29Penalty
1st 19:24Carson Bantle (0–1)medium · tip · 15 ft · beat Matthew Murray
2nd 5:52Penalty
2nd 11:20Penalty
2nd 11:53Sheldon Dries (0–2)5v4 · high · wrist · rebound · 8 ft · beat Matthew Murray
3rd 5:55Penalty
3rd 10:00Penalty
3rd 10:00Penalty