Cleveland Monsters at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Cleveland Monsters

0:5

Final

Providence Bruins

The sheet

CLEPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

4%96%

xG: 1.23.8
High danger: 07
Chances: 117
Shots: 2130

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

PRO above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal30

1Scoring chances17

0High-danger chances7

1.20Expected goals3.77

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–4	1–2	0–1	0.5–0.5
2nd	7–9	0–3	0–1	0.4–0.8
3rd	6–17	0–12	0–5	0.3–2.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ivan Fedotov

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 25
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.78
GSAx: -1.22

Michael DiPietro

Shots faced: 21
Saves: 21
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.20
GSAx: +1.20

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:58Riley Tufte (0–1)low · 42 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
1st 15:52Penalty
1st 16:33Matěj Blümel (0–2)5v4 · low · 50 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
1st 20:00Penalty
1st 20:00Penalty
2nd 8:23Penalty
2nd 12:27Fabian Lysell (0–3)low · 8 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
2nd 15:04Penalty
2nd 15:04Penalty
2nd 15:04Penalty
2nd 17:20Penalty
3rd 3:06Penalty
3rd 7:39Brett Harrison (0–4)grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
3rd 10:02Penalty
3rd 12:31Penalty
3rd 16:49Matěj Blümel (0–5)medium · 11 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov