Henderson Silver Knights at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Henderson Silver Knights

0:3

Final

Colorado Eagles

The sheet

HSKCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

44%56%

xG: 4.14.3
High danger: 1012
Chances: 1519
Shots: 3534

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

COL above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal34

15Scoring chances19

10High-danger chances12

4.07Expected goals4.29

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–10	4–6	2–4	0.8–1.4
2nd	18–10	8–4	7–3	2.4–1.0
3rd	9–14	3–9	1–5	0.9–1.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
HSK	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Trent Miner

Shots faced: 35
Saves: 35
Allowed: 0
xGA: 4.07
GSAx: +4.07

Carl Lindbom

Shots faced: 34
Saves: 31
Allowed: 3
xGA: 4.29
GSAx: +1.29

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 6:54Penalty
1st 10:19Penalty
1st 16:57Penalty
1st 16:57Penalty
1st 16:57Penalty
2nd 0:56Penalty
2nd 4:42Saige Weinstein (0–1)low · 42 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
2nd 12:23Penalty
2nd 20:00Penalty
2nd 20:00Penalty
3rd 3:44Penalty
3rd 3:44Penalty
3rd 3:44Penalty
3rd 6:42Penalty
3rd 9:19Cooper Gay (0–2)medium · 18 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
3rd 18:18Alex Barré-Boulet (0–3)empty net · low · 63 ft · beat Carl Lindbom