Coachella Valley Firebirds at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds

4:0

Final

San Diego Gulls

The sheet

CVSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

72%28%

xG: 2.92.3
High danger: 63
Chances: 126
Shots: 2828

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

SD above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal28

12Scoring chances6

6High-danger chances3

2.94Expected goals2.25

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–6	3–0	1–0	0.9–0.4
2nd	11–9	4–3	2–3	1.0–0.9
3rd	8–13	5–3	3–0	1.1–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SD	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Tomas Suchanek

Shots faced: 28
Saves: 24
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.94
GSAx: -1.06

Victor Östman

Shots faced: 28
Saves: 28
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.25
GSAx: +2.25

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 15:45Jani Nyman (1–0)high · 17 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
2nd 1:46Penalty
2nd 4:51Jani Nyman (2–0)high · 11 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
2nd 6:38Ty Nelson (3–0)low · 39 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
2nd 7:46Penalty
2nd 12:44Penalty
2nd 13:54Penalty
2nd 19:56Penalty
2nd 19:56Penalty
3rd 3:26Penalty
3rd 3:26Penalty
3rd 3:29Tyson Jugnauth (4–0)5v4 · medium · 39 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
3rd 11:12Penalty
3rd 16:07Penalty
3rd 16:07Penalty
3rd 16:07Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty