AHLDashboard
Sunday, January 18

Bakersfield Condors at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Bakersfield Condors
1:0
Final / OT
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

BAKCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
47%53%
xG
2.82.9
High danger
34
Chances
1310
Shots
3133

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineBAK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 42% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal33
13Scoring chances10
3High-danger chances4
2.84Expected goals2.92

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st41102000.30.8
2nd141284221.51.0
3rd101044020.71.1
OT3010100.40.0

Away–home, in that order.

In goal

Shots faced
33
Saves
33
Allowed
0
xGA
2.92
GSAx
+2.92
Shots faced
31
Saves
30
Allowed
1
xGA
2.84
GSAx
+1.84

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:43Penalty
  • 1st 7:42Penalty
  • 2nd 2:22Penalty
  • 2nd 2:22Penalty
  • 2nd 14:13Penalty
  • 2nd 14:13Penalty
  • 2nd 15:49Penalty
  • 2nd 18:10Penalty
  • 3rd 10:19Penalty
  • OT 1:38Max Jones (1–0)low · backhand · 10 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev