AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 18

Chicago Wolves at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Chicago Wolves
5:6
Final / SO
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

CHIRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
20%80%
xG
2.34.2
High danger
39
Chances
716
Shots
3132

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 44% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal32
7Scoring chances16
3High-danger chances9
2.25Expected goals4.18

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–91–51–30.7–1.1
2nd8–103–41–30.6–1.1
3rd10–103–61–20.8–1.6
OT2–30–10–10.1–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

RFD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
RFD116:56 of the 3rd3:041:40+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Amir Miftakhov
Shots faced
32
Saves
27
Allowed
5
xGA
4.18
GSAx
-0.82
Drew Commesso
Shots faced
31
Saves
26
Allowed
5
xGA
2.25
GSAx
-2.75

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:22Martin Misiak (0–1)high · 8 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 1st 8:01Justin Robidas (1–1)low · 34 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 1st 13:13Penalty
  • 1st 13:43Bradly Nadeau (2–1)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 1st 15:56Dillon Boucher (2–2)low · 17 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 1st 19:13Penalty
  • 2nd 5:43Penalty
  • 2nd 12:59Rem Pitlick (2–3)grade A · rebound · 25 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 16:41Noel Gunler (3–3)medium · 30 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 4:47Rem Pitlick (3–4)medium · 13 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 3rd 10:17Justin Robidas (4–4)low · backhand · 25 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 12:08Penalty
  • 3rd 16:05Ryan Suzuki (5–4)grade A · rebound · 28 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 18:36Cavan Fitzgerald (5–5)grade A · rebound · 23 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov