AHLDashboard
Sunday, January 18

Abbotsford Canucks at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
0:3
Final
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

ABBCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
36%64%
xG
1.92.3
High danger
23
Chances
611
Shots
2727

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal27
6Scoring chances11
2High-danger chances3
1.94Expected goals2.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st101125010.61.0
2nd11923120.80.7
3rd6723100.50.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB34:28 of the 3rd15:3215:32+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
2.30
GSAx
-0.70
Shots faced
27
Saves
27
Allowed
0
xGA
1.94
GSAx
+1.94

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:33Penalty
  • 1st 4:17John Hayden (0–1)5v4 · medium · 11 ft · beat Aku Koskenvuo
  • 1st 14:10Penalty
  • 1st 18:00Penalty
  • 1st 18:04Logan Morrison (0–2)5v4 · high · 32 ft · beat Aku Koskenvuo
  • 2nd 2:26Penalty
  • 2nd 18:49Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 4:28Logan Morrison (0–3)medium · rebound · 21 ft · beat Aku Koskenvuo