AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, January 20

Hartford Wolf Pack at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Hartford Wolf Pack
5:4
Final / OT
Hershey Bears

The sheet

HFDHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
71%29%
xG
4.72.6
High danger
86
Chances
1610
Shots
3922

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal22
16Scoring chances10
8High-danger chances6
4.70Expected goals2.59

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–55–22–11.2–0.5
2nd15–78–35–22.4–0.9
3rd11–93–51–30.8–1.1
OT5–10–00–00.4–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Clay Stevenson
Shots faced
39
Saves
34
Allowed
5
xGA
4.70
GSAx
-0.30
Dylan Garand
Shots faced
22
Saves
18
Allowed
4
xGA
2.59
GSAx
-1.41

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties